Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.028034 0.030673 0.033285 0.036060 0.038920 0.041776 0.044839
2025-01-12 0.022397 0.026611 0.030904 0.035579 0.040502 0.045513 0.050978
2025-01-19 0.017723 0.022857 0.028233 0.034214 0.040626 0.047247 0.054559
2025-01-26 0.015653 0.021576 0.027910 0.035067 0.042835 0.050933 0.059947
2025-02-02 0.013478 0.019947 0.027016 0.035126 0.044029 0.053391 0.063883
2025-02-09 0.011068 0.017843 0.025435 0.034290 0.044124 0.054556 0.066326
2025-02-16 0.009643 0.016760 0.024906 0.034532 0.045318 0.056832 0.069888
2025-02-23 0.008211 0.015548 0.024144 0.034437 0.046075 0.058577 0.072818
2025-03-02 0.006837 0.014293 0.023254 0.034134 0.046545 0.059958 0.075305
2025-03-09 0.005706 0.013248 0.022549 0.033992 0.047151 0.061448 0.077872
2025-03-16 0.004422 0.011872 0.021372 0.033245 0.047029 0.062097 0.079482
2025-03-23 0.003656 0.011136 0.020937 0.033335 0.047827 0.063739 0.082153
2025-03-30 0.002643 0.010009 0.020086 0.033057 0.048365 0.065275 0.084924
2025-04-06 0.001661 0.008758 0.019041 0.032553 0.048675 0.066601 0.087526
2025-04-13 0.000685 0.007132 0.017380 0.031228 0.047984 0.066765 0.088808
2025-04-20 0.000418 0.006819 0.017477 0.032051 0.049784 0.069725 0.093178
2025-04-27 0.000115 0.006129 0.016989 0.032108 0.050654 0.071604 0.096317
2025-05-04 NaN 0.005059 0.015859 0.031300 0.050461 0.072243 0.098040
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004576 0.015561 0.031534 0.051490 0.074260 0.101290
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003982 0.015036 0.031442 0.052107 0.075785 0.103968
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003350 0.014382 0.031149 0.052458 0.076985 0.106261
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002836 0.013865 0.031012 0.052979 0.078364 0.108741
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002152 0.012944 0.030291 0.052761 0.078869 0.110211